Taysom Hill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Taysom Hill

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this game.
Taysom Hill has averaged 5.4 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the highest rates in the NFL among QBs (87th percentile).
Taysom Hill has grinded out 33.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in football among QBs (92nd percentile).
Taysom Hill's running efficiency has gotten a boost this year, totaling 13.31 yards-per-carry compared to a mere 5.37 mark last year.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
The New Orleans Saints have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 57.6 plays per game.
The New Orleans Saints O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
The New Orleans Saints have gone up against a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.