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Taysom Hill
NFL · Player Props
Taysom Hill
QB · New Orleans Saints
Rushing Yards
New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 15, 2022 Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM EST
NFL Props Taysom Hill Rushing Yards

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+101/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -134.

Favors Over
  • The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Taysom Hill has averaged 5.1 rush attempts per game this year, one of the largest rates in football among quarterbacks (79th percentile).
  • Taysom Hill has rushed for significantly more yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (30.0).
  • Taysom Hill's rushing efficiency has improved this year, averaging 7.00 yards-per-carry vs a mere 5.37 mark last year.
  • Taysom Hill has been among the best QBs in the league at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a terrific 4.13 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 100th percentile.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 5th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New Orleans Saints have called the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The New Orleans Saints have been faced with a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.
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