My Account Log Out

reorder

Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+101/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Taysom Hill has averaged 5.1 rush attempts per game this year, one of the largest rates in football among quarterbacks (79th percentile).

Taysom Hill has rushed for significantly more yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (30.0).

Taysom Hill's rushing efficiency has improved this year, averaging 7.00 yards-per-carry vs a mere 5.37 mark last year.

Taysom Hill has been among the best QBs in the league at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a terrific 4.13 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 100th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 5th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have called the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The New Orleans Saints have been faced with a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

More Taysom Hill Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™