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Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Taysom Hill Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-320).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year at blocking for the run game.
  • Taysom Hill has run for 0.62 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the league among quarterbacks (100th percentile).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams have run for the 7th-least touchdowns in football (0.62 per game) vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone up against a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
  • The New Orleans Saints have elected to go for it on 4th down a mere 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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