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Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill Carries
Player Prop Week 10

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Taysom Hill Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see 134.3 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.
  • The New Orleans Saints have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.1 plays per game.
  • In totaling a staggering 4.6 rush attempts per game this year, Taysom Hill slots in among the top quarterbacks in football (78th percentile) in regards to running volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Saints being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 41.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
  • The Falcons defensive tackles project as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

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