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Taylor Heinicke

Taylor Heinicke TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons

Taylor Heinicke TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-220).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Falcons this year (a colossal 62.0 per game on average).

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Falcons grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

This year, the deficient Arizona Cardinals defense has been torched for a staggering 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-highest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense in the league in the red zone (50.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Atlanta Falcons.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

Taylor Heinicke's throwing accuracy has worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 63.0% to 51.9%.

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