Taylor Heinicke Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Taylor Heinicke

NFL · Player Props

Taylor Heinicke

QB · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Taylor Heinicke Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Taylor Heinicke to be much more involved in his team's rushing attack this week (11.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (1.9% in games he has played).
Taylor Heinicke has generated 20.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league among QBs (78th percentile).
Taylor Heinicke's rushing effectiveness (6.28 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (79th percentile among quarterbacks).

Favors Under

The Washington Commanders will be forced to use backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers rank as the best unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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