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Taylor Heinicke

Taylor Heinicke Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Taylor Heinicke Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.9 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Taylor Heinicke to be much more involved in his team's rushing attack this week (11.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (1.9% in games he has played).
  • Taylor Heinicke has generated 20.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league among QBs (78th percentile).
  • Taylor Heinicke's rushing effectiveness (6.28 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (79th percentile among quarterbacks).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to use backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
  • The Indianapolis Colts linebackers rank as the best unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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