Taylor Heinicke Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Taylor Heinicke

NFL · Player Props

Taylor Heinicke

QB · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Taylor Heinicke Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-102/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Taylor Heinicke to be a much bigger part of his team's running game this week (12.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (1.8% in games he has played).
Taylor Heinicke has averaged 20.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the NFL among QBs (78th percentile).
Taylor Heinicke's ground effectiveness (6.28 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (82nd percentile among quarterbacks).
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 6th-most yards in the NFL (139 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.

Favors Under

The Washington Commanders will be rolling with backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Commanders are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.

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