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Taylor Heinicke
NFL · Player Props
Taylor Heinicke
QB · Washington Commanders
Rushing Yards
Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders · Week 11, 2022 Updated Nov 20, 2022 5:26 PM UTC
NFL Props Taylor Heinicke Rushing Yards

Taylor Heinicke Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-150/+120).

Favors Over
  • The Commanders are an enormous 11.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 5th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Taylor Heinicke to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (10.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.0% in games he has played).
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the most yards in the league (179 per game) vs. the Houston Texans defense this year.
  • The Houston Texans linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Favors Under
  • The Washington Commanders will be rolling with backup QB Taylor Heinicke this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.11 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year at opening holes for rushers.
  • Taylor Heinicke's rushing effectiveness has diminished this year, averaging a mere 4.48 yards-per-carry compared to a 6.28 mark last year.
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