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Taylor Heinicke
NFL · Player Props
Taylor Heinicke
QB · Washington Commanders
Rushing Yards
Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2022 Updated Nov 15, 2022 1:16 AM EST
NFL Props Taylor Heinicke Rushing Yards

Taylor Heinicke Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -120.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.7 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Taylor Heinicke to be a much bigger part of his offense's run game this week (10.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.4% in games he has played).
  • Taylor Heinicke has picked up 19.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league among QBs (76th percentile).
  • Taylor Heinicke has been among the top quarterbacks in the league at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 2.67 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 80th percentile.
Favors Under
  • The Washington Commanders will be starting backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 39.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Taylor Heinicke to total 2.7 rush attempts in this game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
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