Taylor Heinicke Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Taylor Heinicke

NFL · Player Props

Taylor Heinicke

QB · Washington Commanders

Passing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Taylor Heinicke Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 211.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 210.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 211.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders will be starting backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Washington Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.8 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
Opposing offenses have passed for the 2nd-most yards in the league (268.0 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has displayed bad efficiency this year, conceding 8.09 yards-per-target: the 9th-most in football.

Favors Under

The Commanders are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Taylor Heinicke to attempt 29.0 passes this week, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.
The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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