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Taylor Heinicke

Taylor Heinicke Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Taylor Heinicke Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 211.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 210.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 211.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be starting backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • Opposing offenses have passed for the 2nd-most yards in the league (268.0 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.
  • The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has displayed bad efficiency this year, conceding 8.09 yards-per-target: the 9th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Taylor Heinicke to attempt 29.0 passes this week, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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