Taylor Heinicke Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Taylor Heinicke

NFL · Player Props

Taylor Heinicke

QB · Washington Commanders

Pass Attempts

San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Taylor Heinicke Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 62.4 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
The Washington Commanders have elected to go for it on 4th down 24.1% of the time since the start of last season (4th-most in the NFL), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 57.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to run the 5th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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