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Taylor Heinicke

Taylor Heinicke Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 13

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Taylor Heinicke Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -131 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to start backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
  • The Washington Commanders have elected to go for it on 4th down 24.1% of the time since the start of last season (4th-most in the NFL), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Taylor Heinicke to attempt 28.7 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • The New York Giants have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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