Taylor Heinicke Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Taylor Heinicke

NFL · Player Props

Taylor Heinicke

QB · Washington Commanders

Pass Attempts

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Taylor Heinicke Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -131 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders will be forced to start backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
The Washington Commanders have elected to go for it on 4th down 24.1% of the time since the start of last season (4th-most in the NFL), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Taylor Heinicke to attempt 28.7 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
The New York Giants have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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