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Tanner Hudson

Tanner Hudson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Tanner Hudson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.9% of their chances: the highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 139.2 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week.
  • With a stellar 83.5% Adjusted Catch% (84th percentile) this year, Tanner Hudson rates among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among TEs.
  • Tanner Hudson's ability to grind out extra yardage has improved this season, accumulating 4.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 3.79 rate last season.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cleveland's collection of safeties has been lousy this year, ranking as the 9th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Bengals, who are a huge favorite by 8.5 points.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 32.3 per game) this year.
  • Tanner Hudson's 17.8% Route Participation% this year represents a noteable regression in his air attack volume over last year's 45.4% mark.
  • After totaling 25.0 air yards per game last year, Tanner Hudson has gotten worse this year, now averaging 9.0 per game.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.

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