Tanner Hudson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Tanner Hudson

NFL · Player Props

Tanner Hudson

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Tanner Hudson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are forecasted by the predictive model to call 67.2 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
Tanner Hudson has been a more integral piece of his team's passing game this season (12.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (5.3%).
Tanner Hudson has compiled many more air yards this season (23.0 per game) than he did last season (10.0 per game).

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bengals this year (a measly 55.9 per game on average).
The Cincinnati O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
With a feeble 3.32 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (16th percentile) this year, Tanner Hudson places among the best pass-catching TEs in the NFL in the open field.
The Vikings pass defense has exhibited good efficiency against TEs this year, yielding 6.51 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

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