Tanner Hudson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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NFL · Player Props

Tanner Hudson

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Tanner Hudson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cincinnati Bengals may throw the ball less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) because they be starting backup QB Jake Browning.
At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league (66.9% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 138.0 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
After accruing 10.0 air yards per game last year, Tanner Hudson has produced significantly more this year, currently averaging 24.0 per game.
Tanner Hudson's 26.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 11.7.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a measly 56.2 per game on average).
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.0 per game) this year.
In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year.
Tanner Hudson comes in as one of the weakest TEs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 18th percentile.