Tanner Hudson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Tanner Hudson

NFL · Player Props

Tanner Hudson

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 5, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Tanner Hudson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cincinnati Bengals may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) given that they be starting backup QB Jake Browning.
This week's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are giant -10.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest rate on the slate this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.5 per game) this year.
In this contest, Tanner Hudson is forecasted by the projections to rank in the 78th percentile among tight ends with 4.1 targets.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are predicted by the projections to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.3 plays per game.
The Cincinnati O-line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Tanner Hudson ranks as one of the bottom TEs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 16th percentile.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (64.3%) vs. tight ends this year (64.3%).

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