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Tank Dell

Tank Dell Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Tank Dell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+108/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect Nathaniel Dell to garner 7.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Nathaniel Dell ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a monstrous 48.7 mark this year.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans offensive blueprint to tilt 1.3% more towards the run game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik now calling the plays.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.6% pass rate.
  • The projections expect the Texans to run the 9th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • This year, the stout Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded a mere 60.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 6th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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