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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Green Bay Packers

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Tank Bigsby to total 14.4 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The projections expect Tank Bigsby to be much less involved in his team's ground game in this game (26.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (40.6% in games he has played).

Tank Bigsby has rushed for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (76.0) this season than he did last season (11.0).

Tank Bigsby's 6.8 adjusted yards per carry this year indicates a noteworthy improvement in his running proficiency over last year's 2.8 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jaguars to run on 38.7% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Packers defense has produced the 10th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 4.51 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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