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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jaguars.

Tank Bigsby has been a much bigger part of his team's run game this year (46.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (9.6%).

Tank Bigsby has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (55.0) this year than he did last year (11.0).

Tank Bigsby's ground effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, totaling 5.01 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 2.80 rate last year.

Tank Bigsby's 4.05 yards-after-contact this year marks a noteable boost in his running skills over last year's 2.34 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup quarterback Mac Jones.

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 11th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 40.2% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Las Vegas's group of DEs has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

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