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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 44.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

Tank Bigsby has been much more involved in his offense's running game this year (45.0% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (9.6%).

Tank Bigsby has run for many more adjusted yards per game (57.0) this year than he did last year (11.0).

Tank Bigsby's running effectiveness has gotten better this year, compiling 5.58 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 2.80 figure last year.

Tank Bigsby's 4.27 yards-after-contact this season marks a significant improvement in his rushing ability over last season's 2.34 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars will be rolling with backup quarterback Mac Jones in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are forecasted by the projection model to run only 63.2 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a measly 52.2 per game on average).

This year, the weak Titans run defense has allowed a whopping 4.36 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing squads: the 24th-worst rate in the league.

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