My Account Log Out

reorder

Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play.

After accounting for 9.6% of his offense's carries last year, Tank Bigsby has had a larger role in the rushing attack this year, now accounting for 47.2%.

Tank Bigsby has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (61.0) this year than he did last year (11.0).

Tank Bigsby's rushing effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, averaging 5.73 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 2.80 mark last season.

Tank Bigsby has made strides in picking up extra running yardage this year, notching 4.33 yards-after-contact vs a 2.34 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual game plan.

The model projects the Jaguars as the 10th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 41.2% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

This year, the daunting Houston Texans run defense has yielded a puny 105.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 8th-best in the NFL.

The Houston Texans linebackers profile as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.

More Tank Bigsby Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™