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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings

Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Tank Bigsby has been a more integral piece of his offense's run game this year (50.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (9.6%).

Tank Bigsby's 67.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies a significant gain in his running skills over last year's 11.0 figure.

Tank Bigsby's 5.8 adjusted yards per carry this year marks a meaningful gain in his running prowess over last year's 2.8 mark.

Tank Bigsby's 4.40 yards-after-contact this year represents a noteworthy progression in his running ability over last year's 2.34 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones.

A passing game script is implied by the Jaguars being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.

The predictive model expects the Jaguars as the 4th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.1 plays per game.

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