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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Tank Bigsby Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-180/+145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup quarterback Mac Jones.
  • Right now, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jaguars.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Tank Bigsby's 24.8% Route Participation Rate this year represents an impressive improvement in his air attack utilization over last year's 6.0% rate.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Jaguars profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game against the Raiders defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
  • With a mere 0.4 adjusted catches per game (5th percentile) this year, Tank Bigsby stands as one of the bottom pass-game RBs in the NFL.
  • Tank Bigsby ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football among running backs, completing a measly 61.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 8th percentile.

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