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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Tank Bigsby Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup quarterback Mac Jones.

Right now, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jaguars.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Tank Bigsby's 24.8% Route Participation Rate this year represents an impressive improvement in his air attack utilization over last year's 6.0% rate.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Jaguars profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game against the Raiders defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.

Tank Bigsby has put up a feeble -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 24th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Tank Bigsby checks in as one of the worst pass-game running backs this year, averaging just 4.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 10th percentile among running backs.

Tank Bigsby ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football among running backs, completing a measly 61.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 8th percentile.

The Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 31.0) versus RBs this year.

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