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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Tank Bigsby Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-128/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Tank Bigsby to total 14.4 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The projections expect Tank Bigsby to be much less involved in his team's ground game in this game (26.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (40.6% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jaguars to run on 38.7% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Green Bay's unit has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

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