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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Tank Bigsby Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jaguars.

Tank Bigsby has been a much bigger part of his team's run game this year (46.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (9.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup quarterback Mac Jones.

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 11th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 40.2% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Las Vegas's group of DEs has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

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