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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets

Tank Bigsby Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league (41.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jaguars.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) generally prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.

The projections expect Tank Bigsby to garner 14.7 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.

After accounting for 9.6% of his team's run game usage last season, Tank Bigsby has had a larger role in the run game this season, currently comprising 47.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars will be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to call the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Jaguars have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.4 plays per game.

The New York Jets linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

More Tank Bigsby Player Props

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