Steven Sims Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Steven Sims

NFL · Player Props

Steven Sims

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Steven Sims Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -185 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
The Cincinnati Bengals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.58 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Steven Sims has run a route on 13.2% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 17th percentile among wideouts.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.7%) vs. wide receivers this year (63.7%).
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

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