Steven Sims Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Steven Sims

NFL · Player Props

Steven Sims

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Steven Sims Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (174.0) versus WRs this year.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Completion% in the NFL (71.5%) versus wideouts this year (71.5%).
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has shown weak efficiency vs. wideouts this year, giving up 9.02 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Steven Sims has accrued a mere 9.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 13th percentile among WRs.
Steven Sims's 11.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the worst in football: 19th percentile for WRs.
Steven Sims has been among the worst wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 9.0 yards per game while grading out in the 6th percentile among wideouts.
Steven Sims has been among the least efficient receivers in football, averaging just 4.36 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 10th percentile among wide receivers

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