Steven Sims Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Steven Sims

NFL · Player Props

Steven Sims

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Steven Sims Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.7 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in football (177.0) to WRs this year.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (69.5%) versus WRs this year (69.5%).
The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box against opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 123.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Steven Sims has run a route on 22.8% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 17th percentile among wideouts.
Steven Sims has accumulated a puny 8.0 air yards per game this year: just 15th percentile among WRs.
Steven Sims has been among the worst wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging just 5.0 yards per game while grading out in the 3rd percentile among wideouts.

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