Steven Sims Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Steven Sims

NFL · Player Props

Steven Sims

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Steven Sims Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers have been the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offense has played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 26.88 seconds per snap.
The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst group of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The New Orleans Saints defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 6th-least in football.
Steven Sims has run a route on 7.2% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 10th percentile among wide receivers.
Steven Sims has accounted for a measly 0.2% of his team's air yards this year: just 12th percentile among wide receivers.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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