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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sterling Shepard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are heavy underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 130.0 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

The projections expect Sterling Shepard to total 6.5 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.

While Sterling Shepard has garnered 6.8% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Tampa Bay's passing offense this week at 18.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.9%) versus wideouts this year (60.9%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Kansas City's CB corps has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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