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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

Sterling Shepard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -185 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a focus on passing than their typical approach.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buccaneers to pass on 62.5% of their downs: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (40.5 per game) this year.

Sterling Shepard's 58.8% Route Participation Rate this season shows a material gain in his pass attack utilization over last season's 14.1% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the projections to call just 63.1 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Buccaneers have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.8 plays per game.

Sterling Shepard comes in as one of the weakest WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a measly 1.3 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 17th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The Baltimore Ravens linebackers project as the 10th-best group of LBs in the league this year in regard to pass rush.

More Sterling Shepard Player Props

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