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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers as the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 132.5 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

The model projects Sterling Shepard to be a more important option in his team's passing game in this game (16.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.2% in games he has played).

After averaging 10.0 air yards per game last year, Sterling Shepard has gotten better this year, currently averaging 33.0 per game.

Sterling Shepard has totaled substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (25.0) this year than he did last year (7.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 2.90 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in football.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's group of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 8th-best in football.

More Sterling Shepard Player Props

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