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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 132.3 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

After accumulating 10.0 air yards per game last year, Sterling Shepard has shown good development this year, now pacing 35.0 per game.

Sterling Shepard's 27.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 8.9.

The Buccaneers offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

Sterling Shepard rates as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the league, averaging a mere 7.42 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 24th percentile among wideouts

More Sterling Shepard Player Props

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