My Account Log Out

reorder

Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.3% pass rate.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.

The model projects Sterling Shepard to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game in this game (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.8% in games he has played).

Sterling Shepard has accrued many more air yards this year (35.0 per game) than he did last year (10.0 per game).

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a huge 7-point favorite in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have just 127.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.

With a feeble 6.8 adjusted yards per target (12th percentile) this year, Sterling Shepard ranks as one of the bottom WRs in the NFL in football.

This year, the formidable Las Vegas Raiders defense has surrendered a mere 137.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 10th-fewest in the league.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. WRs this year, surrendering 7.48 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

More Sterling Shepard Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™