My Account Log Out

reorder

Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

Sterling Shepard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects Sterling Shepard to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense this week (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.9% in games he has played).

Sterling Shepard has accrued many more air yards this year (36.0 per game) than he did last year (10.0 per game).

Sterling Shepard has compiled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (29.0) this season than he did last season (7.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 62.2 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

Sterling Shepard has been one of the worst wide receivers in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 1.80 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 21st percentile.

The 49ers pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (57.7%) to WRs this year (57.7%).

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's LB corps has been terrific this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

More Sterling Shepard Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™