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Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Sterling Shepard Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+257/-423).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -387 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -423.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Sterling Shepard has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 22.2% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.
  • Sterling Shepard has accumulated a colossal 70.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile among WRs.
  • Sterling Shepard's 51.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 88th percentile for wide receivers.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (70.3%) to wideouts since the start of last season (70.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Giants have run the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
  • The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles rank as the 7th-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • The New York Giants O-line has afforded their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

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