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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.0% pass rate.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a monstrous 60.9 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • In this week's contest, Stefon Diggs is forecasted by the projection model to finish in the 96th percentile among WRs with 9.5 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Texans being a 5-point favorite in this game.
  • Stefon Diggs's 23.9% Target% this year conveys a noteworthy decrease in his passing offense utilization over last year's 29.9% figure.
  • The Colts cornerbacks profile as the 3rd-best CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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