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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 59.5% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The most plays in the league have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a massive 63.2 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

The model projects Stefon Diggs to accrue 7.5 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Stefon Diggs's 22.4% Target% this year represents a substantial decrease in his pass game workload over last year's 29.9% mark.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Buffalo's unit has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

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