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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Chicago Bears

Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 132.0 total plays run: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.

The Texans have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.

The Chicago Bears defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (37.0 per game) since the start of last season.

This week, Stefon Diggs is predicted by the predictive model to place in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.9 targets.

With a terrific 6.2 adjusted receptions per game (96th percentile) since the start of last season, Stefon Diggs stands among the best pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal game plan.

The Texans rank as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 52.1% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect Stefon Diggs to be a much smaller piece of his team's air attack in this week's game (23.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (29.2% in games he has played).

Since the start of last season, the stout Bears defense has surrendered a measly 63.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.

The Bears linebackers grade out as the best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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