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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.7 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Stefon Diggs to total 9.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to WRs.

Stefon Diggs has been an integral part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 29.3% this year, which ranks in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

With a remarkable 6.3 adjusted catches per game (96th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs places as one of the top wide receivers in the game in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Buffalo Bills as the least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.7 per game) this year.

Stefon Diggs's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 72.7% to 67.4%.

The Chiefs pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62%) to wideouts this year (62.0%).

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