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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Stefon Diggs to accumulate 8.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among WRs.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 10-point advantage, the Bills are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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