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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.

This week, Stefon Diggs is projected by the projection model to finish in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.2 targets.

With an exceptional 29.9% Target Share (95th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs stands as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.

The Bills offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

With a stellar 6.2 adjusted receptions per game (95th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs ranks as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 3 points.

To the extent of a defense's influence on pace, at 28.47 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-most sluggish in the league (in a neutral context) right now.

Stefon Diggs's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 72.7% to 65.9%.

The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

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