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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills

Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are projected by the projection model to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.

The Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.9 per game) this year.

The model projects Stefon Diggs to notch 9.9 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.

With a remarkable 29.8% Target Rate (97th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs ranks as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.

The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are overwhelmingly favored by 12.5 points.

The projections expect the Buffalo Bills as the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Stefon Diggs's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 72.7% to 67.1%.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.1%) versus WRs this year (62.1%).

The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 6th-best unit in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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