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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 59.5% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The most plays in the league have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a massive 63.2 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

The model projects Stefon Diggs to accrue 7.5 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Stefon Diggs's 22.4% Target% this year represents a substantial decrease in his pass game workload over last year's 29.9% mark.

After totaling 105.0 air yards per game last season, Stefon Diggs has gotten worse this season, currently boasting 52.0 per game.

Stefon Diggs has put up significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (62.0) this year than he did last year (72.0).

The Bills defense has yielded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 95.0) versus WRs this year.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

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