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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Texans as the 10th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 133.2 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The model projects Stefon Diggs to accrue 8.0 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

When it comes to air yards, Stefon Diggs grades out in the towering 94th percentile among wide receivers last year, accumulating a massive 101.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense last year: 7th-fewest in football.

While Stefon Diggs has accounted for 28.8% of his offense's targets in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in Houston's passing attack in this game at 22.0%.

Stefon Diggs comes in as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the league, averaging a measly 7.46 adjusted yards-per-target last year while ranking in the 25th percentile among wide receivers

With a lackluster 2.78 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (21st percentile) last year, Stefon Diggs rates as one of the top WRs in the NFL in the NFL in the open field.

The Colts defense has allowed the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 130.0) to WRs last year.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

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