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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 86.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 83.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 86.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 68.3% pass rate.

In this game, Stefon Diggs is projected by the projections to slot into the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.8 targets.

Stefon Diggs has accrued quite a few more air yards this year (114.0 per game) than he did last year (104.0 per game).

Stefon Diggs's 73.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 65.9.

The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.

The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Giants, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.

Stefon Diggs's 2.97 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a a substantial reduction in his effectiveness in space over last season's 4.1% figure.

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