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Stefon Diggs
NFL · Player Props
Stefon Diggs
WR · Buffalo Bills
Receiving Yards
Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants · Week 6, 2023 Updated Oct 16, 2023 12:01 AM EST
NFL Props Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 86.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 83.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 86.5 @ -135.

Favors Over
  • The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 68.3% pass rate.
  • In this game, Stefon Diggs is projected by the projections to slot into the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.8 targets.
  • Stefon Diggs has accrued quite a few more air yards this year (114.0 per game) than he did last year (104.0 per game).
  • Stefon Diggs's 73.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 65.9.
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Favors Under
  • This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Giants, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.
  • Stefon Diggs's 2.97 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a a substantial reduction in his effectiveness in space over last season's 4.1% figure.
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