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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 83.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 83.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 83.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bills as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.

The predictive model expects Stefon Diggs to total 11.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among wideouts.

Stefon Diggs has put up a massive 104.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Stefon Diggs's 72.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 95th percentile for WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Bills have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.0 plays per game.

The Dolphins pass defense has shown good efficiency against wide receivers since the start of last season, conceding 7.61 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the league.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.51 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the league.

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