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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 77.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 73.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 77.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 69.2% pass rate.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Stefon Diggs to garner 10.0 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
  • Stefon Diggs has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 28.6% since the start of last season, which places him in the 97th percentile among wideouts.
  • Stefon Diggs has accrued a whopping 106.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 7th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.2 plays per game.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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